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7 key mistakes Modi has made for which BJP won't get the 282 seats it did in 2014

The BJP’s by-poll debacle in Uttar Pradesh and Bihar has thrown up three pieces of conventional wisdom. One, the Modi wave is over. Two, the BJP will get no more than 180 seats in the 2019 Lok Sabha election. Three, the combined Opposition will sink their ideological differences and come to power.
It’s impossible to predict an election result a year in advance. What’s certain though is the BJP will not win the 282 seats it did in 2014. Lightning doesn’t strike twice. The 2014 Lok Sabha poll brought two powerful forces together: a strong anti-Congress wave and an equally strong pro-Modi wave. They combined to form a tsunami that led to the BJP sweeping Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Gujarat, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Delhi.
Electoral tsunami
Such electoral tsunamis are rare. Even the sympathy wave caused by Rajiv Gandhi’s assassination in May 1991 didn’t help the Congress win a majority in the Lok Sabha. Prime Minister PV Narasimha Rao led a minority government for five years before India got its first khichdi United Front government in 1996 with HD Deve Gowda as Prime Minister, supported by the Congress from outside.
Will history repeat itself in 2019? If it does, look at the cast of characters who will be part of a new United Front melting pot: Mayawati, Akhilesh Yadav, Tejashwi Yadav, MK Stalin, Sharad Pawar, Assaduddin Owaisi, Omar Abdullah and Sitaram Yechury. The chef who will supervise the making of this khichdi government is, of course, Rahul Gandhi.
As he turns 49 next June, has Rahul’s time finally come? How will the Congress control the clashing egos of the more than dozen leaders of the new-look United Front? To complicate the broth, TMC’s Mamata Banerjee and TRS’ KCR are plotting to set up a non-BJP, non-Congress Third Front (TF).
In a best-case scenario, the Congress can hope to gain significant Lok Sabha seats from only seven states: Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat, Haryana, Punjab, Karnataka and Kerala. It is locked in binary contests with the BJP in four of these states, with the Left in one (Kerala) and in multipolar contests in two (Punjab and Haryana). Doubling its 2014 tally to around 90 seats would be an optimistic outcome.
When it supported Deve Gowda’s UF government from outside in 1996, the Congress had 140 Lok Sabha seats. The various parties that made up the UF had 192 seats and the BJP 161 seats. In 2019, the combined Opposition (United Front plus Third Front) will likely account for 120-140 seats with the TMC, TRS, DMK, SP and BSP providing the bulk.
The small parties in the mix like the NCP, NC, AIMIM and the Left will top up the numbers. Lalu Prasad’s RJD in Bihar, despite its win in Araria and Jehanabad (but loss in Bhabua) in recent by-polls, is unlikely to get into double digits in the 2019 Lok Sabha election given Lalu’s conviction in yet another fraud case. The sympathy factor can wear thin.
Hung Parliament
With 120-140 seats in the UF-TF combine and 90 seats for the Congress, totalling 210-230 seats for the mahagathbandhan, the 2019 Lok Sabha election will obviously produce a hung Parliament. This accepts the prevalent hypothesis that the BJP wins 180-200 seats. With few reliable allies, the BJP-led NDA will thus be unable to cross 240 seats. Unattached parties like the BJD, AIADMK, TDP and independents will make up the rest and be the kingmakers. This, therefore, is what the 17th Lok Sabha in 2019 could look like: NDA 240 seats; Congress-led mahagathbandhan (UF+TF) 220 seats; others 85 seats.
Seven errors
Modi has made seven key errors that have brought the BJP to this pass. First, alienating NDA allies. Second, misallocating portfolios in the Union Cabinet. (Arun Jaitley would have been a better external affairs minister and Sushma Swaraj a better home minister. Ministers like Mahesh Sharma, Harsh Vardhan, Radha Mohan Singh and Uma Bharti have not distinguished themselves). Three, remaining silent on issues ranging from cow vigilantism to divisive remarks by party MPs.
Four, not holding daily media briefings by the PMO or MEA as every major country does — and as India did when Syed Akbaruddin was MEA spokesperson. Five, not submitting himself to regular press conferences with robust question-and-answer sessions.
Six, allowing the bureaucracy to slow down corruption cases against UPA-era offenders. Seven, following an inconsistent policy on Pakistan. The significant achievements of the Modi government — and there are many — have been submerged by these self-inflicted wounds.
Will the Rahul Gandhi-led Congress with, say, 90 seats be willing to support a new UF+TF government from outside? Will it seek the prime ministership for Rahul by dint of having the largest number of MPs in the mahagathbandhan? How will the ambitious leaders of the Opposition khichdi take to such an arrangement?
Rahul’s own reluctance to lead such a coalition could stem from the recognition that with 210-230 seats the mahagathbandhan will not be able to claim a working majority in the Lok Sabha without support from unattached parties like the BJD, TDP, AIADMK and independents.
With around 240 seats, the shrunken NDA will wait to pounce if a coalition government of over 20 parties collapses under the weight of its own ideological contradictions as it did in 1998. Six years of NDA government followed. History has an uncomfortable habit of repeating itself.
(Courtesy of Mail Today )

The Winds of Change

Logon ne apne tevar nayein dikha diye
Jaise Mausam ne apne mizaaz badal liye

Saudi Prince BandarThrows Himself to Death Rather Than Be Deported to Saudi Arabia

Its quite intriguing and sad too, how an honourable death is preferred to a humiliating deportation
and perhaps a painful unknown imprisonment and death

Amitabh Bacchan HOSPITALISED

https://youtu.be/vOjQgOgQuMkhttps://youtu.be/vOjQgOgQuMk

The Human Touch of Tatas

*Why Ambani & Adani are richest ? Why not Tata....

As shared by an

*Army Officer

"It’s always not about Business”

I was on Temporary duty to attend Republic Day parade in Delhi.

I had to stay for two nights in Delhi.

So, I stayed in hotel TAJ

I had specifically chosen the hotel because of its location.

In the evening, I called the reception and requested them to get my dress ironed.

After a while, the room service boy came to pick my dress. I handed over him my uniform for ironing. He was shocked to see my uniform and politely asked Sir, you are in Army. I replied yes, he immediately took out his mobile, and took selfie with me and said Sir, I am seeing an Army officer for the first time. I have seen them in movies only. He instantly stamped his feet and saluted. He said Jai Hind Sir and left.

After awhile, somebody knocked the door. I opened the door and to my amaze two beautiful girls were standing with their cell phones in hand. One of them said Sir, we request for one selfie. I didn’t know how to react. I smiled like a fool. I gave them chocolates from the mini bar, as if they were kids. But you know, what nervousness can do to you. It stops the logical flow of thoughts.

At around 2100 Hrs, I Got a call from the reception, asking me if, I can come down for the dinner as it can’t be served in room, in an extremely polite manner. I went down to have dinner , then I noticed the real beauty of that place, amazingly awesome interior. Landing from the jungles of Kashmir, the ambience was too shinny for me. The moment I entered the main arena, to my surprise the entire staff was standing there.

The staff approached me with manager leading the contingent. The manager said- Welcome to our hotel Sir, It’s our pleasure to have you in our hotel, handing me the beautiful bouquet. The manager himself had dinner with me.

Next Day.

To my surprise, I was provided with a BMW car by the hotel for my move to “Rashtrapati Bhawan”. Frankly speaking, we are not used to such type of VIP treatment. We fauzis are more comfortable in our Gypsy.

Day of Check Out.

I went to the reception, handed over the card.

Receptionist: Thank you for your stay Sir. How was your stay?

Me: Stay was very comfortable. My Bill please.

Receptionist: Your stay has been sponsored by our hotel. You protect our Nation. So this is our small token of gratitude for you. We respect your patronage.

*It was not about the saving money which made me feel good, but it was about the respect they have shown towards the “Olive Green”*

I was deeply touched by this gratitude, What a great nation we live in.

After that incident, I wrote to the CEO of TAJ group of hotels. Narrating the incident and appreciating the gesture shown by the Manager of TAJ Delhi.

To my surprise, I got a return mail from the CEO stating that TAJ group of hotels have decided to give discount to Army officers for their stay in TAJ hotels across the country.

Wow, what a way to pay the tribute and respect to the soldiers.

*TATA* *has the best work ethics environment.*

That's why they are not richest unlike other corporates.....

So in moral if you have money without ethics you are a curse to the society...

Breaking

BREAKING* 

India’s richest man *Mukesh Ambani’s* son *Akash Ambani* is getting married. His would be bride is *Shloka Mehta* – daughter of *Russel & Mona Mehta*. Mehtas own world’s largest diamond trading company *Rosy Blue Diamonds*.  Engagement ceremony of Akash and Shloka is in Mumbai by end of this month i.e. March’18 and wedding is planned for 8-12 Dec’18  at Oberoi Mumbai.

Interestingly, Mukesh Bhai’s *“Samdhan” Mona Mehta’s* brother *Mayank Mehta* is married to none other than *PNB scamster Nirav Modi’s sister Purvi*, who along with his brother Nirav is also under CBI scanner in the *Rs. 12,600 Cr PNB scam*. Even more interesting fact is that *Mukesh Ambani’s samdhis’ company Rosy Blue Diamonds*, been named in *HSBC Swiss Bank Accnt holders & IPL scams*. *Rosy Blue’s 24 offshore companies* also named in *Panama Papers scam*.